Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 117.419231 129.892759 142.728395 156.896216 172.068185 187.800937 205.320804
2024-10-27 96.549933 114.851300 134.653974 157.554544 183.186937 210.874835 242.923521
2024-11-03 83.859221 106.681482 132.527092 163.663733 199.851047 240.283113 288.564232
2024-11-10 72.755052 98.698114 129.364112 167.712955 213.796837 266.815664 331.821931
2024-11-17 64.120623 92.411832 127.206904 172.207203 227.896250 293.599838 375.976794
2024-11-24 57.455832 87.646897 126.164678 177.511484 242.721359 321.352872 421.829843
2024-12-01 47.663588 77.542557 117.250962 171.956007 243.370975 331.468063 446.264302
2024-12-08 40.660085 70.340370 111.325216 169.514430 247.375382 345.369261 475.248553
2024-12-15 36.022458 65.922610 108.660450 170.967659 256.134807 365.168439 511.757183
2024-12-22 32.361617 62.494330 106.986569 173.455549 266.084560 386.495533 550.439542
2024-12-29 30.241119 61.190079 108.176210 179.826845 281.288205 414.839887 598.550111
2025-01-05 27.885638 59.209126 108.130142 184.280624 293.833461 439.810034 642.620014
2025-01-12 24.341557 54.894015 104.305011 183.152569 298.743196 454.999838 674.630335
2025-01-19 21.336853 51.136209 101.027425 182.587279 304.330519 471.162892 708.228158
2025-01-26 19.954634 50.164801 102.117209 188.619184 319.497502 500.672071 760.192640
2025-02-02 18.340408 48.540124 101.972094 192.658234 331.795629 526.407450 807.460471
2025-02-09 17.005467 47.280206 102.302425 197.365138 345.099954 553.695506 857.178087
2025-02-16 15.948272 46.446219 103.273415 203.067252 359.966129 583.386992 910.592486
2025-02-23 13.287339 41.795515 97.120577 196.844983 356.540137 586.982910 927.957645
2025-03-02 11.424633 38.580937 93.253084 194.097818 358.187719 597.695051 955.206577
2025-03-09 10.287709 36.870172 92.026270 195.672884 366.482547 618.059921 996.184285
2025-03-16 9.389685 35.595893 91.516649 198.401601 376.588239 641.167747 1041.288880
2025-03-23 9.004721 35.578511 93.449648 205.418606 393.614755 674.662457 1101.531948